El Geish 1-0 Ghazl El Mehalla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 7 May 2026

📅07/05/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
40%
2.61
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
Over 2.5
36%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.75
No
49%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Draw ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-5.0pp
40%
Draw
35%
+5.5pp
22%
Away Win
23%
-0.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
32%
+19.1pp
49%
BTTS No
68%
-19.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME El Geish EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Ghazl El Mehalla EU Bookmakers 26%
-6% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -10%
1.06/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.05
-17% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
300 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 168 · 61%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.7
21.3 Crosses 16.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME El Geish
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Ghazl El Mehalla
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.18 xG 0.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
244 Passes 319
71% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 13
13 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.01.2026 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla 0-0 HT 0-0 El Geish El Geish MSR
30.12.2025 El Geish El Geish 1-0 HT 1-0 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla MSRLK
25.05.2025 El Geish El Geish 1-1 HT 1-0 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla MSR
07.11.2024 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla 2-3 HT 0-1 El Geish El Geish MSR
26.04.2023 El Geish El Geish 1-0 HT 1-0 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla MSR
14.12.2022 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla 3-2 HT 1-2 El Geish El Geish MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME El Geish
1-0
AWAY Ghazl El Mehalla
0.84 xG 0.32
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 4
284 Passes 179
72% Pass Accuracy 59%
15 Box Touches 8
19 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH El Geish vs Ghazl El Mehalla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

El Geish nicked a narrow win over Ghazl El Mehalla 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 40% / 22%) promised a tight game; El Geish found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, El Geish had 57% of the ball to Ghazl El Mehalla's 43%, shots finished 9-7, expected goals 0.84 to 0.32.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, El Geish had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for El Geish and 1.00 for Ghazl El Mehalla.

What was the final score of El Geish vs Ghazl El Mehalla?

El Geish 1-0 Ghazl El Mehalla in the Egypt - Premier League on 07/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for El Geish vs Ghazl El Mehalla?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split El Geish 37%, draw 40%, Ghazl El Mehalla 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Draw), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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