Vitoria 4-0 Atletico Paranaense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 7 Aug 2026

📅07/08/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.6
Over 2.5
45%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.45
2-3 Goals
37%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
4.39
6+ Goals
9%
23.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
38%
+2.5pp
25%
Draw
29%
-4.6pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+2.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.2pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vitoria EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Paranaense EU Bookmakers 36%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.41/2.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.13
-7% / -53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -29%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
294 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 80%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.8
29.2 Crosses 13.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vitoria
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Atletico Paranaense
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.99 xG 1.91
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
306 Passes 341
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
10 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 3
04.08.2026 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 2-0 HT 1-0 Vitoria Vitoria BRK
27.04.2026 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 3-1 HT 1-1 Vitoria Vitoria BR1
03.11.2024 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 1-2 HT 1-1 Vitoria Vitoria BR1
01.07.2024 Vitoria Vitoria 0-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense BR1
18.11.2018 Vitoria Vitoria 1-2 HT 0-1 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense BR1
29.07.2018 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 4-0 HT 3-0 Vitoria Vitoria BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vitoria
4-0
AWAY Atletico Paranaense
1.48 xG 1.14
16 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
318 Passes 299
21 Box Touches 29
15 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Vitoria vs Atletico Paranaense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vitoria cruised past Atletico Paranaense 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Vitoria as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 16-14, expected goals 1.48 to 1.14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Paranaense led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Vitoria and 2.17 for Atletico Paranaense.

What was the final score of Vitoria vs Atletico Paranaense?

Vitoria 4-0 Atletico Paranaense in the Brazil - Cup on 07/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vitoria vs Atletico Paranaense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vitoria win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Vitoria 41%, draw 25%, Atletico Paranaense 34%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vitoria), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vitoria) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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