Caen 4-0 Valenciennes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Fransa - Ligue 3, 7 Aug 2026

📅07/08/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.27
Draw
33%
3.18
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
40%
-6.5pp
33%
Draw
28%
+5.8pp
33%
Away Win
33%
+0.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.8pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caen EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Valenciennes EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caen
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Valenciennes
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.62 xG 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
368 Passes 317
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
28.02.2026 Valenciennes Valenciennes 2-1 HT 2-0 Caen Caen FR3
19.09.2025 Caen Caen 0-0 HT 0-0 Valenciennes Valenciennes FR3
17.05.2024 Caen Caen 3-0 HT 1-0 Valenciennes Valenciennes FR2
28.10.2023 Valenciennes Valenciennes 2-2 HT 2-0 Caen Caen FR2
18.03.2023 Caen Caen 2-1 HT 1-1 Valenciennes Valenciennes FR2
05.11.2022 Valenciennes Valenciennes 1-1 HT 1-1 Caen Caen FR2
POST-MATCH Caen vs Valenciennes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caen swept aside Valenciennes 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Caen made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Caen had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Caen and 1.00 for Valenciennes.

What was the final score of Caen vs Valenciennes?

Caen 4-0 Valenciennes in the Fransa - Ligue 3 on 07/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caen vs Valenciennes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Caen win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Caen 33%, draw 33%, Valenciennes 33%. The final score 4-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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