Polonia Warszawa 1-1 Ruch Chorzow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 7 Aug 2026

📅07/08/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.48
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
3.16
6+ Goals
9%
11.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.48 — our 27% vs market 22.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
13%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-1.6pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.4pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.2pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Polonia Warszawa EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Ruch Chorzow EU Bookmakers 33%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +13%
1.17/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.14
-23% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
292 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Polonia Warszawa
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Ruch Chorzow
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
21.02.2026 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow 2-3 HT 0-2 Polonia Warszawa Polonia Warszawa POL1
15.08.2025 Polonia Warszawa Polonia Warszawa 0-0 HT 0-0 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow POL1
24.11.2024 Polonia Warszawa Polonia Warszawa 1-0 HT 1-0 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow POL1
22.04.2013 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow 2-1 HT 0-0 Polonia Warszawa Polonia Warszawa POL
21.10.2012 Polonia Warszawa Polonia Warszawa 2-1 HT 2-1 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow POL
20.04.2012 Polonia Warszawa Polonia Warszawa 0-1 HT 0-0 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Polonia Warszawa
1-1
AWAY Ruch Chorzow
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Polonia Warszawa vs Ruch Chorzow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polonia Warszawa and Ruch Chorzow shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Polonia Warszawa at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, shots finished 17-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Polonia Warszawa had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Polonia Warszawa and 1.00 for Ruch Chorzow.

What was the final score of Polonia Warszawa vs Ruch Chorzow?

Polonia Warszawa 1-1 Ruch Chorzow in the Poland - 1st Division on 07/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Polonia Warszawa vs Ruch Chorzow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Polonia Warszawa win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Polonia Warszawa 42%, draw 24%, Ruch Chorzow 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Polonia Warszawa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Polonia Warszawa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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