Polonia Bytom 2-2 Pogon Siedlce — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 7 Aug 2026

📅07/08/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.75
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.91
Over 2.5
54%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.76
No
45%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.66
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
26%
3.05
6+ Goals
12%
10.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
54%
-0.0pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.9pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+2.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.1pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Polonia Bytom EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Pogon Siedlce EU Bookmakers 24%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +10%
1.82/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.51
-1% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
395 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Polonia Bytom
0W-3D-1L
AWAY Pogon Siedlce
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
22.02.2026 Polonia Bytom Polonia Bytom 1-1 HT 1-0 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce POL1
17.08.2025 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce 2-0 HT 0-0 Polonia Bytom Polonia Bytom POL1
17.03.2024 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce 3-3 HT 0-3 Polonia Bytom Polonia Bytom POL2
02.09.2023 Polonia Bytom Polonia Bytom 1-1 HT 0-0 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Polonia Bytom
2-2
AWAY Pogon Siedlce
21 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Polonia Bytom vs Pogon Siedlce
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polonia Bytom and Pogon Siedlce shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Polonia Bytom at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 21-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Pogon Siedlce led the recent series with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Polonia Bytom and 1.75 for Pogon Siedlce.

What was the final score of Polonia Bytom vs Pogon Siedlce?

Polonia Bytom 2-2 Pogon Siedlce in the Poland - 1st Division on 07/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Polonia Bytom vs Pogon Siedlce?

Before kick-off our model rated a Polonia Bytom win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Polonia Bytom 53%, draw 22%, Pogon Siedlce 24%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Polonia Bytom) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Polonia Bytom) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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