Halesowen Town 1-1 Leiston — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.89
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
23%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
49%
+1.7pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.9pp
26%
Away Win
26%
-0.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.1pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Halesowen Town EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Leiston EU Bookmakers 30%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
1.23/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.93
-29% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
362 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Halesowen Town
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Leiston
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 3
20.02.2024 Leiston Leiston 2-1 Halesowen Town Halesowen Town İNGNLP
05.08.2023 Halesowen Town Halesowen Town 2-1 HT 1-0 Leiston Leiston İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Halesowen Town
1-1
AWAY Leiston
39% Ball Possession 61%
17 Total Shots 9
12 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 9
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Halesowen Town vs Leiston
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Halesowen Town and Leiston shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Halesowen Town at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Halesowen Town had 39% of the ball to Leiston's 61%, shots finished 17-9.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Halesowen Town and 1.50 for Leiston.

What was the final score of Halesowen Town vs Leiston?

Halesowen Town 1-1 Leiston in the England - Non League Premier on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Halesowen Town vs Leiston?

Before kick-off our model rated a Halesowen Town win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Halesowen Town 50%, draw 24%, Leiston 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Halesowen Town), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Halesowen Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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