Lleida Esportiu 2-2 Atletico Baleares — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.45
Over 2.5
46%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.16
No
53%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
44%
+3.7pp
25%
Draw
29%
-4.0pp
27%
Away Win
27%
+0.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
65%
-10.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
35%
+10.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.6pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lleida Esportiu EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Baleares EU Bookmakers 30%
-10% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-17% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
255 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lleida Esportiu
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Atletico Baleares
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
6 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 3
30.03.2014 Atletico Baleares Atletico Baleares 2-0 HT 1-0 Lleida Esportiu Lleida Esportiu İS3
POST-MATCH Lleida Esportiu vs Atletico Baleares
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lleida Esportiu and Atletico Baleares couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Lleida Esportiu at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

What was the final score of Lleida Esportiu vs Atletico Baleares?

Lleida Esportiu 2-2 Atletico Baleares in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lleida Esportiu vs Atletico Baleares?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lleida Esportiu win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Lleida Esportiu 48%, draw 25%, Atletico Baleares 27%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lleida Esportiu) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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