AlbinoLeffe 1-1 Vicenza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.13
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
45%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.48
Over 2.5
38%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.29
No
64%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
41%
2.2
2-3 Goals
35%
1.8
4-5 Goals
15%
5.64
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.2 — our 41% vs market 38.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
21%
+4.5pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.1pp
45%
Away Win
52%
-6.7pp
62%
Under 2.5
64%
-1.5pp
38%
Over 2.5
36%
+1.5pp
36%
BTTS Yes
40%
-3.6pp
64%
BTTS No
60%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AlbinoLeffe EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Vicenza EU Bookmakers 56%
+9% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -13%
1.24/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.10
+30% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -14%
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
215 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 435 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AlbinoLeffe
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Vicenza
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.01.2024 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe 0-0 HT 0-0 Vicenza Vicenza İTC
04.09.2023 Vicenza Vicenza 0-0 HT 0-0 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe İTC
22.01.2023 Vicenza Vicenza 3-0 HT 2-0 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe İTC
17.09.2022 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe 1-1 HT 1-0 Vicenza Vicenza İTC
02.03.2014 Vicenza Vicenza 3-2 HT 2-2 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe İTC
31.03.2012 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe 0-1 HT 0-0 Vicenza Vicenza İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AlbinoLeffe
1-1
AWAY Vicenza
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 2
4 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH AlbinoLeffe vs Vicenza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AlbinoLeffe and Vicenza shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Vicenza at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (64%) missed.

On the day, AlbinoLeffe had 56% of the ball to Vicenza's 44%, shots finished 9-2.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vicenza led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for AlbinoLeffe and 1.33 for Vicenza.

What was the final score of AlbinoLeffe vs Vicenza?

AlbinoLeffe 1-1 Vicenza in the Italy - Serie C on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AlbinoLeffe vs Vicenza?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vicenza win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split AlbinoLeffe 25%, draw 30%, Vicenza 45%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Vicenza), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vicenza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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