Crotone 1-2 Trapani 1905 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.8
Over 2.5
41%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.75
No
56%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
3.07
2-3 Goals
35%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.81
6+ Goals
9%
16.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.07 — our 36% vs market 26.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
39%
-1.4pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.3pp
34%
Away Win
34%
+0.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
52%
+7.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
48%
-7.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-9.0pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crotone EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Trapani 1905 EU Bookmakers 37%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.30/0.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/2.00
+7% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +75% / -45%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
298 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crotone
1-2
AWAY Trapani 1905
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Crotone vs Trapani 1905
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trapani 1905 edged past Crotone 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 34% — and on the day Trapani 1905 made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Crotone had 55% of the ball to Trapani 1905's 45%, shots finished 8-8.

What was the final score of Crotone vs Trapani 1905?

Crotone 1-2 Trapani 1905 in the Italy - Serie C on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crotone vs Trapani 1905?

Before kick-off our model rated a Crotone win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Crotone 37%, draw 29%, Trapani 1905 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Crotone) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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