Ermenistan vs Letonya Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ermenistan v Letonya — Team-Based Signals
Ermenistan vs Letonya Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Ermenistan
AVŞE
2-1
HT 1-0
Letonya
AVŞE
2-0
HT 1-0
Ermenistan
HAZ
0-0
HT 0-0
Letonya
HAZ
Ermenistan 4-1 Letonya — Actual Match Statistics
Ermenistan cruised past Letonya 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ermenistan as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Ermenistan had 59% of the ball to Letonya's 41%, shots finished 16-3, expected goals 1.23 to 0.15.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Letonya led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Ermenistan and 1.25 for Letonya.
What was the final score of Ermenistan vs Letonya?
Ermenistan 4-1 Letonya in the UEFA Uluslar League on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ermenistan vs Letonya?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ermenistan win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ermenistan 42%, draw 32%, Letonya 27%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ermenistan) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.