Moldova 2-0 Malta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Uluslar League, 7 Sep 2024

Moldova
2-0 HT 2-0
Malta
📅07/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
UEFA Uluslar League – 2024/2025

Moldova vs Malta Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.44
Over 2.5
46%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.44
No
50%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
1.96
2-3 Goals
36%
1.86
4-5 Goals
22%
6.85
6+ Goals
12%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.68
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
17.25
X/1
11%
3.71
X/2
11%
8.03
X/X
17%
3.47
2/1
10%
34.5
2/2
8%
7.67
2/X
4%
18.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-4.4pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.2pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+5.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
66%
-11.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
34%
+11.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
37%
+13.1pp
50%
BTTS No
63%
-13.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Moldova v Malta — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moldova EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Malta EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -36% / -36%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -28%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
366 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
– Crosses 13.0
– Yellow Cards 1.0

Moldova vs Malta Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Moldova
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Malta
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 2
The Meetings
24.03.2016 Malta Malta 0-0 HT 0-0 Moldova Moldova HAZ
17.10.2007 Malta Malta 2-3 HT 0-3 Moldova Moldova AVR
24.03.2007 Moldova Moldova 1-1 HT 0-0 Malta Malta AVR

Moldova 2-0 Malta — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Moldova
2-0
AWAY Malta
1.96 xG 0.13
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 0
459 Passes 323
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
29 Box Touches 9
15 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Moldova vs Malta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Moldova saw off Malta 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Moldova as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Moldova had 58% of the ball to Malta's 42%, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 1.96 to 0.13.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Moldova had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Moldova and 1.00 for Malta.

What was the final score of Moldova vs Malta?

Moldova 2-0 Malta in the UEFA Uluslar League on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moldova vs Malta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Moldova win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Moldova 45%, draw 28%, Malta 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Moldova), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Moldova) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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