Gürcistan 4-1 Çekya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Uluslar League, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.84
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
46%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.75
Over 2.5
43%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.81
No
61%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.98
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
3.93
6+ Goals
7%
17.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.98 — our 33% vs market 27.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.6
1/2
5%
28.5
1/X
5%
13.25
X/1
9%
6.3
X/2
13%
4.91
X/X
13%
4.24
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
27%
3.23
2/X
7%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-1.6pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.5pp
46%
Away Win
41%
+5.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
53%
+4.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
47%
-4.2pp
39%
BTTS Yes
51%
-12.2pp
61%
BTTS No
49%
+12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gürcistan EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Çekya EU Bookmakers 45%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
2.04/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.33/0.75
-10% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +57% / -20%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
310 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 416 · 80%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 36.2
21.0 Crosses 30.2
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gürcistan
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Çekya
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.11 xG 3.09
38% Ball Possession 62%
5 Total Shots 27
1 Shots on Target 12
5 Corners 11
246 Passes 430
79% Pass Accuracy 87%
13 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 45
4 Yellow Cards 5
22.06.2024 Gürcistan Gürcistan 1-1 HT 1-0 Çekya Çekya AVR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gürcistan
4-1
AWAY Çekya
2.02 xG 0.55
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 4
294 Passes 379
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
22 Box Touches 17
8 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gürcistan vs Çekya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gürcistan ran out comfortable winners over Çekya 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Çekya at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gürcistan had 44% of the ball to Çekya's 56%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 2.02 to 0.55.

What was the final score of Gürcistan vs Çekya?

Gürcistan 4-1 Çekya in the UEFA Uluslar League on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gürcistan vs Çekya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Çekya win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Gürcistan 30%, draw 24%, Çekya 46%. The final score 4-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Çekya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVUL More UEFA Uluslar League
7 Sep 2024
16:00 Faroe Adaları vs Kuzey Makedonya Analysis →
19:00 Moldova vs Malta Analysis →
19:00 Ermenistan vs Letonya Analysis →
19:00 İrlanda Cumhuriyeti vs İngiltere Analysis →
21:45 Ukrayna vs Arnavutluk Analysis →
21:45 Hollanda vs Bosna-Hersek Analysis →