FK Karlskrona 3-1 Hogaborgs BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 7 Sep 2025

📅07/09/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.49
No
41%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
53%
-1.2pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.2pp
24%
Away Win
24%
-0.0pp
59%
BTTS Yes
63%
-4.4pp
41%
BTTS No
37%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Karlskrona EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Hogaborgs BK EU Bookmakers 27%
+5% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
2.18/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/1.94
+5% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / -2%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
323 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Karlskrona
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Hogaborgs BK
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
57% Ball Possession 43%
5 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
12.04.2025 Hogaborgs BK Hogaborgs BK 1-1 HT 0-0 FK Karlskrona FK Karlskrona İSÇ4
19.10.2024 Hogaborgs BK Hogaborgs BK 2-1 HT 1-1 FK Karlskrona FK Karlskrona İSÇ4
09.06.2024 FK Karlskrona FK Karlskrona 3-1 HT 0-1 Hogaborgs BK Hogaborgs BK İSÇ4
POST-MATCH FK Karlskrona vs Hogaborgs BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Karlskrona got the better of Hogaborgs BK 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FK Karlskrona as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for FK Karlskrona and 1.33 for Hogaborgs BK.

What was the final score of FK Karlskrona vs Hogaborgs BK?

FK Karlskrona 3-1 Hogaborgs BK in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 07/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Karlskrona vs Hogaborgs BK?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Karlskrona win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split FK Karlskrona 52%, draw 24%, Hogaborgs BK 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Karlskrona), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FK Karlskrona) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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