Pineto 1-1 Pontedera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 7 Sep 2025

📅07/09/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.64
Over
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.97
No
50%
1.74
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2.47
2-3
41%
1.69
4-5
20%
4.2
6+
9%
21.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pineto The Market 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Pontedera The Market 28%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +0%
1.11/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.11
-23% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
338 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pineto
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Pontedera
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
02.02.2025 Pontedera Pontedera 3-2 HT 2-1 Pineto Pineto İTC
26.09.2024 Pineto Pineto 1-1 HT 0-1 Pontedera Pontedera İTC
13.02.2024 Pontedera Pontedera 2-3 HT 0-2 Pineto Pineto İTC
08.10.2023 Pineto Pineto 4-1 HT 2-1 Pontedera Pontedera İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pineto
1-1
AWAY Pontedera
65% Ball Possession 35%
23 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Pineto vs Pontedera
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Pineto and Pontedera traded blows to a 1-1 standstill. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Pineto at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. For what it's worth, the market was even more convinced — 1.92, about 52% — so the upset beat the price as well as us. Nothing to argue with on goals either — under 2.5 goals (56%) came home.

Under the surface, possession split 65% to 35% in Pineto's favour, shots finished 23-4.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Pineto had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.50 a game for Pineto against 1.75 for Pontedera.

Pineto vs Pontedera Result & Final Score

Pineto 1-1 Pontedera in the Italy - Serie C on 07/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Pineto vs Pontedera Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Pineto win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Pineto 44%, draw 27%, Pontedera 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Pineto) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pineto) ✓ Under 2.5
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