Pontedera 3-2 Pineto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 2 Feb 2025

📅02/02/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.59
Over
46%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.97
No
52%
1.74
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2.35
2-3
40%
1.72
4-5
21%
4.54
6+
9%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pontedera The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Pineto The Market 33%
+5% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.38/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.25
+15% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / -8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
298 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pontedera
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Pineto
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.09.2024 Pineto Pineto 1-1 HT 0-1 Pontedera Pontedera İTC
13.02.2024 Pontedera Pontedera 2-3 HT 0-2 Pineto Pineto İTC
08.10.2023 Pineto Pineto 4-1 HT 2-1 Pontedera Pontedera İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pontedera
3-2
AWAY Pineto
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Pontedera vs Pineto
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Pontedera edged past Pineto 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Pontedera found the edge the numbers couldn't.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 46% and both teams to score at 48%, coin-flips both. The market went further still — the under-2.5 price closed at 1.59, about 63%.

Under the surface, Pontedera had 42% of the ball to Pineto's 58%, shots finished 13-14.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Pineto led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Pontedera and 2.67 for Pineto.

Pontedera vs Pineto Result & Final Score

Pontedera 3-2 Pineto in the Italy - Serie C on 02/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Pontedera vs Pineto Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Pontedera win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Pontedera 39%, draw 28%, Pineto 33%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pontedera) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pontedera) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
2 Feb 2025
14:30 Gubbio vs Arezzo Analysis →
17:00 Pergolettese vs Atalanta II Analysis →
17:00 Sassari Torres vs Sestri Levante Analysis →
17:00 Legnago Salus vs Ternana Analysis →
17:00 Picerno vs Juventus II Analysis →
17:00 Avellino vs Torre Neapolis Analysis →