Chicago Fire vs New England Revolution Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chicago Fire v New England Revolution — Team-Based Signals
Chicago Fire vs New England Revolution Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-1
New England Revolution
ABD
3-3
HT 2-2
Chicago Fire
ABD
1-1
HT 0-0
New England Revolution
ABD
Chicago Fire 3-2 New England Revolution — Actual Match Statistics
Chicago Fire edged past New England Revolution 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Chicago Fire as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (62%) came in.
On the day, Chicago Fire had 53% of the ball to New England Revolution's 47%, shots finished 14-16, expected goals 2.62 to 2.96.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Chicago Fire and 1.50 for New England Revolution.
What was the final score of Chicago Fire vs New England Revolution?
Chicago Fire 3-2 New England Revolution in the USA - Major League on 07/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chicago Fire vs New England Revolution?
Before kick-off our model rated a Chicago Fire win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Chicago Fire 47%, draw 25%, New England Revolution 28%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chicago Fire), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.