St. Louis City vs FC Dallas Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
St. Louis City v FC Dallas — Team-Based Signals
St. Louis City vs FC Dallas Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-0
FC Dallas
ABD
2-0
HT 0-0
St. Louis City
ABD
St. Louis City 1-1 FC Dallas — Actual Match Statistics
St. Louis City and FC Dallas shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
Our pre-match lean was St. Louis City at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (60%) landed while over 2.5 goals (59%) missed.
On the day, St. Louis City had 67% of the ball to FC Dallas's 33%, shots finished 42-4, expected goals 3.64 to 0.41.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, FC Dallas led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for St. Louis City and 1.60 for FC Dallas.
What was the final score of St. Louis City vs FC Dallas?
St. Louis City 1-1 FC Dallas in the USA - Major League on 07/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for St. Louis City vs FC Dallas?
Before kick-off our model rated a St. Louis City win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split St. Louis City 45%, draw 25%, FC Dallas 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (St. Louis City), Over 2.5 went the other way.