FC Dallas vs St. Louis City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FC Dallas v St. Louis City — Team-Based Signals
FC Dallas vs St. Louis City Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-0
FC Dallas
ABD
2-0
HT 0-0
St. Louis City
ABD
FC Dallas 2-0 St. Louis City — Actual Match Statistics
FC Dallas got the better of St. Louis City 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 31%) promised a tight game; FC Dallas found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, FC Dallas had 43% of the ball to St. Louis City's 57%, shots finished 10-21, expected goals 1.27 to 1.63.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FC Dallas and 0.67 for St. Louis City.
What was the final score of FC Dallas vs St. Louis City?
FC Dallas 2-0 St. Louis City in the USA - Major League on 16/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FC Dallas vs St. Louis City?
Before kick-off our model rated a FC Dallas win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split FC Dallas 40%, draw 29%, St. Louis City 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Dallas), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.