FC Dallas vs St. Louis City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FC Dallas v St. Louis City — Team-Based Signals
FC Dallas vs St. Louis City Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-0
FC Dallas
ABD
2-0
HT 0-0
St. Louis City
ABD
FC Dallas 3-0 St. Louis City — Actual Match Statistics
FC Dallas cruised past St. Louis City 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 37% — and on the day FC Dallas made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, FC Dallas had 34% of the ball to St. Louis City's 66%, shots finished 16-16, expected goals 2.11 to 0.67.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, FC Dallas had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for FC Dallas and 0.50 for St. Louis City.
What was the final score of FC Dallas vs St. Louis City?
FC Dallas 3-0 St. Louis City in the USA - Major League on 20/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FC Dallas vs St. Louis City?
Before kick-off our model rated an St. Louis City win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split FC Dallas 36%, draw 28%, St. Louis City 37%. The final score 3-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.