Columbus Crew vs DC United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Columbus Crew v DC United — Team-Based Signals
Columbus Crew vs DC United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-1
Columbus Crew
ABD
2-0
HT 2-0
DC United
ABD
2-2
HT 0-0
Columbus Crew
ABD
Columbus Crew 2-1 DC United — Actual Match Statistics
Columbus Crew nicked a narrow win over DC United 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Columbus Crew as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
On the day, Columbus Crew had 64% of the ball to DC United's 36%, shots finished 18-6, expected goals 2.45 to 0.58 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Columbus Crew's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Columbus Crew had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Columbus Crew and 1.00 for DC United.
What was the final score of Columbus Crew vs DC United?
Columbus Crew 2-1 DC United in the USA - Major League on 20/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Columbus Crew vs DC United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Columbus Crew win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Columbus Crew 59%, draw 21%, DC United 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Columbus Crew), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.