Seattle Sounders vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Seattle Sounders v San Jose Earthquakes — Team-Based Signals
Seattle Sounders vs San Jose Earthquakes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Seattle Sounders
ABD
0-1
HT 0-0
San Jose Earthquakes
ABD
2-2
HT 1-1
San Jose Earthquakes
ABD
Seattle Sounders 3-2 San Jose Earthquakes — Actual Match Statistics
Seattle Sounders squeezed past San Jose Earthquakes 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Seattle Sounders as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%) came in.
On the day, Seattle Sounders had 53% of the ball to San Jose Earthquakes's 47%, shots finished 19-20, expected goals 2.25 to 2.21.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, San Jose Earthquakes led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Seattle Sounders and 1.83 for San Jose Earthquakes.
What was the final score of Seattle Sounders vs San Jose Earthquakes?
Seattle Sounders 3-2 San Jose Earthquakes in the USA - Major League on 20/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Seattle Sounders vs San Jose Earthquakes?
Before kick-off our model rated a Seattle Sounders win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Seattle Sounders 47%, draw 25%, San Jose Earthquakes 28%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Seattle Sounders), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.