Seattle Sounders 2-2 San Jose Earthquakes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 19 Sep 2024

Seattle Sounders
2-2 HT 2-1
San Jose Earthquakes
📅19/09/2024 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
USA - Major League – 2024

Seattle Sounders vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.3
Draw
24%
4.95
Away
19%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.51
Over 2.5
57%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.39
2-3 Goals
38%
2.0
4-5 Goals
28%
2.68
6+ Goals
13%
6.58
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1.51
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
22.3
X/1
16%
3.52
X/2
7%
18.7
X/X
8%
8.33
2/1
8%
20.95
2/2
7%
13.75
2/X
11%
21.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
72%
-14.8pp
24%
Draw
17%
+6.9pp
19%
Away Win
11%
+7.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
36%
+7.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
64%
-7.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.1pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Seattle Sounders v San Jose Earthquakes — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Seattle Sounders EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY San Jose Earthquakes EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +5%
1.99/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/2.06
-13% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -12%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
422 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 79%
29.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
24.0 Crosses 15.4
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.3

Seattle Sounders vs San Jose Earthquakes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Seattle Sounders
0W-2D-4L
AWAY San Jose Earthquakes
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.96 xG 1.78
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
442 Passes 346
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
29 Box Touches 19
26 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.03.2024 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 3-2 HT 2-0 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABD
13.07.2023 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 2-0 HT 1-0 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABD
01.06.2023 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 0-1 HT 0-0 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes ABD
10.10.2022 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 2-2 HT 1-1 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes ABD
12.05.2022 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 2-2 HT 0-1 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes ABDK
24.04.2022 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 4-3 HT 1-2 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABD

Seattle Sounders 2-2 San Jose Earthquakes — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Seattle Sounders
2-2
AWAY San Jose Earthquakes
0.93 xG 0.92
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
377 Passes 473
83% Pass Accuracy 85%
29 Box Touches 13
22 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Seattle Sounders vs San Jose Earthquakes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Seattle Sounders and San Jose Earthquakes couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Seattle Sounders carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Seattle Sounders had 46% of the ball to San Jose Earthquakes's 54%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 0.93 to 0.92.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, San Jose Earthquakes led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Seattle Sounders and 2.33 for San Jose Earthquakes.

What was the final score of Seattle Sounders vs San Jose Earthquakes?

Seattle Sounders 2-2 San Jose Earthquakes in the USA - Major League on 19/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Seattle Sounders vs San Jose Earthquakes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Seattle Sounders win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Seattle Sounders 57%, draw 24%, San Jose Earthquakes 19%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Seattle Sounders) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Seattle Sounders) ✓ Over 2.5
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