San Jose Earthquakes 3-2 Seattle Sounders — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 24 Mar 2024

📅24/03/2024 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
41%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.64
Over 2.5
47%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.65
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.43
6+ Goals
9%
23.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.67
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.7
X/1
11%
5.1
X/2
13%
5.59
X/X
9%
4.04
2/1
7%
31.5
2/2
22%
4.17
2/X
9%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
38%
-5.4pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.4pp
41%
Away Win
33%
+8.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
57%
-4.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
43%
+4.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.6pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Jose Earthquakes EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Seattle Sounders EU Bookmakers 37%
-2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +3%
1.54/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.31
-3% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +3%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
372 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 74%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
21.0 Crosses 19.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Jose Earthquakes
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Seattle Sounders
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.50 xG 2.05
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
359 Passes 413
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 29
14 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.07.2023 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 2-0 HT 1-0 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABD
01.06.2023 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 0-1 HT 0-0 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes ABD
10.10.2022 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 2-2 HT 1-1 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes ABD
12.05.2022 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 2-2 HT 0-1 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes ABDK
24.04.2022 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 4-3 HT 1-2 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABD
30.09.2021 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 1-3 HT 0-2 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Jose Earthquakes
3-2
AWAY Seattle Sounders
2.23 xG 1.45
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
317 Passes 478
83% Pass Accuracy 86%
20 Box Touches 21
8 Crosses 31
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH San Jose Earthquakes vs Seattle Sounders
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Jose Earthquakes edged past Seattle Sounders 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Seattle Sounders at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, San Jose Earthquakes had 40% of the ball to Seattle Sounders's 60%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 2.23 to 1.45.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, San Jose Earthquakes had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for San Jose Earthquakes and 1.67 for Seattle Sounders.

What was the final score of San Jose Earthquakes vs Seattle Sounders?

San Jose Earthquakes 3-2 Seattle Sounders in the USA - Major League on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Jose Earthquakes vs Seattle Sounders?

Before kick-off our model rated an Seattle Sounders win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split San Jose Earthquakes 33%, draw 26%, Seattle Sounders 41%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Seattle Sounders) ✗ Under 2.5
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