CF Montreal 0-2 Chicago Fire — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 20 Jul 2025

📅20/07/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
41%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.29
Over 2.5
55%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.49
No
45%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.64
2-3 Goals
35%
1.92
4-5 Goals
26%
2.79
6+ Goals
14%
7.53
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.98
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
23.3
1/X
6%
12.75
X/1
10%
6.49
X/2
13%
5.68
X/X
12%
5.66
2/1
7%
26.0
2/2
21%
3.24
2/X
5%
12.55
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.3 — our 8% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
+0.1pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.4pp
41%
Away Win
40%
+1.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
40%
+5.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
60%
-5.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
63%
-7.7pp
45%
BTTS No
37%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CF Montreal EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Chicago Fire EU Bookmakers 43%
+8% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +6%
1.25/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.19/1.73
-1% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -3%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
332 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 83%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.2
18.8 Crosses 17.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CF Montreal
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Chicago Fire
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.68 xG 1.22
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
385 Passes 369
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2025 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 1-1 HT 1-0 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
22.09.2024 CF Montreal CF Montreal 2-0 HT 1-0 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire ABD
16.03.2024 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 4-3 HT 1-2 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
17.09.2023 CF Montreal CF Montreal 0-0 HT 0-0 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire ABD
13.07.2023 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 3-0 HT 3-0 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
14.09.2022 CF Montreal CF Montreal 3-2 HT 3-1 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CF Montreal
0-2
AWAY Chicago Fire
0.84 xG 1.40
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
397 Passes 389
87% Pass Accuracy 85%
25 Box Touches 13
22 Crosses 6
5 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ CF Montreal vs Chicago Fire
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Chicago Fire beat CF Montreal 2-0 away from home in the USA - Major League on 20 Jul 2025. Half-time: 0-1.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 55% and both teams to score was close to even at 55%.

On the day, CF Montreal had 51% of the ball to Chicago Fire's 49%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 0.84 to 1.40.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours are even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for CF Montreal and 1.67 for Chicago Fire.

What was the final score of CF Montreal vs Chicago Fire?

CF Montreal 0-2 Chicago Fire in the USA - Major League on 20/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CF Montreal vs Chicago Fire?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chicago Fire win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split CF Montreal 36%, draw 24%, Chicago Fire 41%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chicago Fire) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chicago Fire) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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