New England Revolution 1-2 Orlando City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 20 Jul 2025

📅20/07/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
46%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.5
No
47%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.43
2-3 Goals
36%
1.9
4-5 Goals
27%
2.85
6+ Goals
12%
8.08
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
12%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-2.6pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.5pp
46%
Away Win
41%
+5.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
62%
-9.9pp
47%
BTTS No
38%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME New England Revolution EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Orlando City EU Bookmakers 45%
-2% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +9%
1.18/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.21
-25% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +23%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
367 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 82%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
19.2 Crosses 13.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME New England Revolution
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Orlando City
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.27 xG 1.57
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
387 Passes 390
86% Pass Accuracy 85%
17 Box Touches 35
15 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
11.05.2025 Orlando City Orlando City 3-3 HT 2-2 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
15.09.2024 Orlando City Orlando City 3-0 HT 2-0 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
14.07.2024 New England Revolution New England Revolution 1-3 HT 1-0 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
08.10.2023 Orlando City Orlando City 3-2 HT 3-1 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
18.06.2023 New England Revolution New England Revolution 3-1 HT 0-0 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
07.08.2022 Orlando City Orlando City 0-3 HT 0-1 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME New England Revolution
1-2
AWAY Orlando City
1.18 xG 1.74
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 6
450 Passes 246
88% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 21
30 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH New England Revolution vs Orlando City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orlando City squeezed past New England Revolution 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Orlando City as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, New England Revolution had 62% of the ball to Orlando City's 38%, shots finished 14-16, expected goals 1.18 to 1.74.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Orlando City led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for New England Revolution and 2.17 for Orlando City.

What was the final score of New England Revolution vs Orlando City?

New England Revolution 1-2 Orlando City in the USA - Major League on 20/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for New England Revolution vs Orlando City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Orlando City win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split New England Revolution 31%, draw 23%, Orlando City 46%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Orlando City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Orlando City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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