Portland Timbers vs Minnesota United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Portland Timbers v Minnesota United — Team-Based Signals
Portland Timbers vs Minnesota United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-1
HT 2-0
Portland Timbers
ABD
0-1
HT 0-0
Minnesota United
ABD
1-0
HT 0-0
Minnesota United
ABD
4-4
HT 3-1
Portland Timbers
ABD
Portland Timbers 1-1 Minnesota United — Actual Match Statistics
Portland Timbers and Minnesota United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 23% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Portland Timbers had 64% of the ball to Minnesota United's 36%, shots finished 14-16.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Minnesota United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Portland Timbers and 2.17 for Minnesota United.
What was the final score of Portland Timbers vs Minnesota United?
Portland Timbers 1-1 Minnesota United in the USA - Major League on 20/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Portland Timbers vs Minnesota United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Portland Timbers win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Portland Timbers 39%, draw 23%, Minnesota United 38%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.