Portland Timbers vs Minnesota United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Portland Timbers v Minnesota United — Team-Based Signals
Portland Timbers vs Minnesota United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-1
HT 2-0
Portland Timbers
ABD
0-1
HT 0-0
Minnesota United
ABD
1-0
HT 0-0
Minnesota United
ABD
4-4
HT 3-1
Portland Timbers
ABD
3-1
HT 1-1
Minnesota United
ABD
Portland Timbers 3-2 Minnesota United — Actual Match Statistics
Portland Timbers nicked a narrow win over Minnesota United 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Portland Timbers as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Portland Timbers had 67% of the ball to Minnesota United's 33%, shots finished 26-6, expected goals 4.36 to 1.72 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Portland Timbers's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Minnesota United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Portland Timbers and 2.00 for Minnesota United.
What was the final score of Portland Timbers vs Minnesota United?
Portland Timbers 3-2 Minnesota United in the USA - Major League on 30/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Portland Timbers vs Minnesota United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Portland Timbers win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Portland Timbers 49%, draw 26%, Minnesota United 25%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Portland Timbers), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.