Portland Timbers vs Minnesota United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Portland Timbers v Minnesota United — Team-Based Signals
Portland Timbers vs Minnesota United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Portland Timbers 3-2 Minnesota United — Actual Match Statistics
Portland Timbers nicked a narrow win over Minnesota United 3-2. From 1-2 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Portland Timbers as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (63%) came home.
Under the surface, possession split 67% to 33% in Portland Timbers's favour, shots finished 26-6, expected goals 4.36 to 1.72 — on chances created, Portland Timbers won this by more than the scoreboard admits.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Minnesota United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.67 a game for Portland Timbers against 2.00 for Minnesota United.
Portland Timbers vs Minnesota United Result & Final Score
Portland Timbers 3 - 2 Minnesota United in the USA - Major League on 30/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Portland Timbers vs Minnesota United Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Portland Timbers win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Portland Timbers 57%, draw 22%, Minnesota United 21%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Portland Timbers), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.