San Jose Earthquakes 1-1 Seattle Sounders — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.99
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
37%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.75
Over 2.5
43%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.85
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.77
6+ Goals
10%
16.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.85 — our 30% vs market 28.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.97
1/2
8%
27.5
1/X
5%
13.65
X/1
12%
6.72
X/2
14%
5.03
X/X
16%
4.36
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
15%
3.18
2/X
7%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
30%
+5.1pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.4pp
37%
Away Win
42%
-5.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.4pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Jose Earthquakes EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Seattle Sounders EU Bookmakers 46%
+6% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -12%
1.55/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.12
+5% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / +11%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
331 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 423 · 82%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
17.6 Crosses 22.1
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Jose Earthquakes
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Seattle Sounders
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.48 xG 1.70
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
348 Passes 446
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 30
10 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.09.2024 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 2-2 HT 2-1 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes ABD
24.03.2024 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 3-2 HT 2-0 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABD
13.07.2023 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 2-0 HT 1-0 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABD
01.06.2023 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 0-1 HT 0-0 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes ABD
10.10.2022 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 2-2 HT 1-1 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes ABD
12.05.2022 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 2-2 HT 0-1 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes ABDK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Jose Earthquakes
1-1
AWAY Seattle Sounders
1.02 xG 2.86
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 26
3 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 12
261 Passes 536
79% Pass Accuracy 87%
18 Box Touches 47
18 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH San Jose Earthquakes vs Seattle Sounders
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Jose Earthquakes and Seattle Sounders couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, San Jose Earthquakes had 35% of the ball to Seattle Sounders's 65%, shots finished 10-26, expected goals 1.02 to 2.86.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, San Jose Earthquakes had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for San Jose Earthquakes and 1.33 for Seattle Sounders.

What was the final score of San Jose Earthquakes vs Seattle Sounders?

San Jose Earthquakes 1-1 Seattle Sounders in the USA - Major League on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Jose Earthquakes vs Seattle Sounders?

Before kick-off our model rated an Seattle Sounders win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split San Jose Earthquakes 35%, draw 28%, Seattle Sounders 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Seattle Sounders), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Seattle Sounders) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ABD More USA - Major League
30 Mar 2025
02:30 Atlanta United vs New York City FC Analysis →
02:30 DC United vs Columbus Crew Analysis →
02:30 Inter Miami vs Philadelphia Union Analysis →
03:30 FC Dallas vs Sporting Kansas City Analysis →
03:30 Minnesota United vs Real Salt Lake Analysis →
03:30 Chicago Fire vs CF Montreal Analysis →