Caernarfon Town vs Barry Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Caernarfon Town v Barry Town — Team-Based Signals
Caernarfon Town vs Barry Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-3
HT 2-1
Barry Town
GAL
0-3
HT 0-2
Caernarfon Town
GAL
1-2
HT 1-1
Caernarfon Town
GAL
Caernarfon Town 3-1 Barry Town — Actual Match Statistics
Caernarfon Town got the better of Barry Town 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Caernarfon Town as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Caernarfon Town had 51% of the ball to Barry Town's 49%, shots finished 12-9.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Caernarfon Town had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Caernarfon Town and 1.50 for Barry Town.
What was the final score of Caernarfon Town vs Barry Town?
Caernarfon Town 3-1 Barry Town in the Wales - Premier League on 07/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Caernarfon Town vs Barry Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Caernarfon Town win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Caernarfon Town 57%, draw 22%, Barry Town 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Caernarfon Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.