Caernarfon Town 5-2 Barry Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒14:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.38
Over 2.5
60%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.46
No
38%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
4.81
2-3 Goals
36%
1.93
4-5 Goals
27%
2.67
6+ Goals
19%
6.78
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-4.3pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.4pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+1.9pp
40%
Under 2.5
38%
+1.5pp
60%
Over 2.5
62%
-1.5pp
62%
BTTS Yes
64%
-2.7pp
38%
BTTS No
36%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caernarfon Town EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Barry Town EU Bookmakers 34%
+8% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -7%
2.17/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.54
+34% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
317 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caernarfon Town
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Barry Town
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
14.12.2024 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town 3-2 HT 2-1 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
21.09.2024 Barry Town Barry Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town GAL
19.11.2023 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town 2-3 HT 2-1 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
30.09.2023 Barry Town Barry Town 0-3 HT 0-2 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town GAL
26.02.2022 Barry Town Barry Town 1-2 HT 1-1 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town GAL
30.10.2021 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town 1-2 HT 0-2 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
POST-MATCH Caernarfon Town vs Barry Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caernarfon Town cruised past Barry Town 5-2. Half-time: 2-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Caernarfon Town as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Caernarfon Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Caernarfon Town and 1.50 for Barry Town.

What was the final score of Caernarfon Town vs Barry Town?

Caernarfon Town 5-2 Barry Town in the Wales - Premier League on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caernarfon Town vs Barry Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Caernarfon Town win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Caernarfon Town 41%, draw 27%, Barry Town 33%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Caernarfon Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Caernarfon Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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