Gimhae City 2-1 Changwon City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 7 Sep 2025

📅07/09/2025 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.61
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
15%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.74
Over 2.5
35%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.03
No
60%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
24%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
58%
+0.1pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.8pp
15%
Away Win
18%
-2.9pp
65%
Under 2.5
54%
+11.3pp
35%
Over 2.5
46%
-11.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
45%
-4.9pp
60%
BTTS No
55%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimhae City EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Changwon City EU Bookmakers 21%
-1% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +10%
1.77/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.47
+5% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
325 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimhae City
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Changwon City
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
10.05.2025 Changwon City Changwon City 0-1 HT 0-1 Gimhae City Gimhae City GK3L
29.06.2024 Changwon City Changwon City 0-2 HT 0-2 Gimhae City Gimhae City GK3L
03.03.2024 Gimhae City Gimhae City 2-1 HT 0-0 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
15.09.2023 Changwon City Changwon City 3-2 HT 2-1 Gimhae City Gimhae City GK3L
21.05.2023 Gimhae City Gimhae City 2-2 HT 1-2 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
22.10.2022 Changwon City Changwon City 1-1 HT 1-1 Gimhae City Gimhae City GK3L
POST-MATCH Gimhae City vs Changwon City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimhae City edged past Changwon City 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Gimhae City as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gimhae City had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Gimhae City and 1.17 for Changwon City.

What was the final score of Gimhae City vs Changwon City?

Gimhae City 2-1 Changwon City in the South Kore - K3 League on 07/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimhae City vs Changwon City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimhae City win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Gimhae City 58%, draw 27%, Changwon City 15%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimhae City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gimhae City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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