Yuen Long 0-3 Shatin SA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 7 Sep 2025

📅07/09/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
42%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.23
Over 2.5
60%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.46
No
34%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
20%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.4pp
20%
Draw
24%
-4.2pp
42%
Away Win
39%
+2.8pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.8pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.8pp
66%
BTTS Yes
64%
+1.3pp
34%
BTTS No
36%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yuen Long EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Shatin SA EU Bookmakers 43%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.19/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.16/2.19
-22% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -39%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
356 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yuen Long
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Shatin SA
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.04.2025 Shatin SA Shatin SA 1-1 Yuen Long Yuen Long HK2
06.10.2024 Yuen Long Yuen Long 0-3 Shatin SA Shatin SA HK2
17.03.2024 Shatin SA Shatin SA 1-3 HT 1-1 Yuen Long Yuen Long HK2
17.12.2023 Yuen Long Yuen Long 3-0 HT 1-0 Shatin SA Shatin SA HK2
29.01.2023 Shatin SA Shatin SA 3-1 HT 3-0 Yuen Long Yuen Long HK2
06.11.2022 Yuen Long Yuen Long 3-1 HT 2-1 Shatin SA Shatin SA HK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yuen Long
0-3
AWAY Shatin SA
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Yuen Long vs Shatin SA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shatin SA swept aside Yuen Long 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 20% / 42%) promised a tight game; Shatin SA found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, over 2.5 goals (60%) landed while both teams to score (66%) missed.

On the day, Yuen Long had 52% of the ball to Shatin SA's 48%, shots finished 9-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Yuen Long had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Yuen Long and 1.50 for Shatin SA.

What was the final score of Yuen Long vs Shatin SA?

Yuen Long 0-3 Shatin SA in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 07/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yuen Long vs Shatin SA?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shatin SA win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Yuen Long 38%, draw 20%, Shatin SA 42%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shatin SA), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shatin SA) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HK2 More Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division
7 Sep 2025
08:30 South China vs Tung Sing Analysis →
08:30 Metro Gallery vs Lucky Mile Analysis →
10:30 Resources Capital FC vs Sham Shui Po Analysis →