Deportivo Saprissa 2-3 Puntarenas FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 7 Oct 2024

📅07/10/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.32
Draw
23%
4.62
Away
20%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
71%
-14.2pp
23%
Draw
18%
+4.5pp
21%
Away Win
11%
+9.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+4.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-4.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.5pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Saprissa EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Puntarenas FC EU Bookmakers 14%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -11%
2.56/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.95
+24% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +9%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
403 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Saprissa
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Puntarenas FC
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
29.07.2024 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 2-3 HT 1-1 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
06.05.2024 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
14.01.2024 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 3-0 HT 0-0 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC KOSTA
18.10.2023 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 4-1 HT 1-1 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC KOSTA
14.08.2023 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 2-4 HT 0-3 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
25.03.2023 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 3-2 HT 3-1 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Saprissa
2-3
AWAY Puntarenas FC
65% Ball Possession 35%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
12 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Deportivo Saprissa vs Puntarenas FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Puntarenas FC edged past Deportivo Saprissa 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Deportivo Saprissa at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportivo Saprissa had 65% of the ball to Puntarenas FC's 35%, shots finished 15-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Saprissa had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Deportivo Saprissa and 1.33 for Puntarenas FC.

What was the final score of Deportivo Saprissa vs Puntarenas FC?

Deportivo Saprissa 2-3 Puntarenas FC in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 07/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Saprissa vs Puntarenas FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Saprissa win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Saprissa 57%, draw 23%, Puntarenas FC 21%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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KOSTA More Costa Rica - Premier League
7 Oct 2024
00:00 Santos de Guapiles vs Alajuelense Analysis →