Santos de Guapiles vs Alajuelense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Santos de Guapiles v Alajuelense — Team-Based Signals
Santos de Guapiles vs Alajuelense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-0
HT 3-0
Santos de Guapiles
KOSTA
0-1
HT 0-1
Alajuelense
KOSTA
0-2
HT 0-1
Santos de Guapiles
KOSTA
Alajuelense beat Santos de Guapiles 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Alajuelense as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alajuelense led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Santos de Guapiles and 2.33 for Alajuelense.
What was the final score of Santos de Guapiles vs Alajuelense?
Santos de Guapiles 1-3 Alajuelense in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 07/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Santos de Guapiles vs Alajuelense?
Before kick-off our model rated an Alajuelense win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Santos de Guapiles 23%, draw 25%, Alajuelense 52%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alajuelense), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.