La Equidad 0-1 Once Caldas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 7 Oct 2025

📅07/10/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.75
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
46%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.62
Over 2.5
35%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.99
No
60%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
21%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
23%
+3.6pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.9pp
46%
Away Win
49%
-2.7pp
65%
Under 2.5
58%
+7.2pp
35%
Over 2.5
42%
-7.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
46%
-5.7pp
60%
BTTS No
54%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME La Equidad EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Once Caldas EU Bookmakers 53%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
0.69/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/0.69
+1% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +52%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
237 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 81%
9.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
11.1 Crosses 21.9
2.9 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME La Equidad
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Once Caldas
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.82 xG 0.85
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
218 Passes 318
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.04.2025 Once Caldas Once Caldas 3-0 HT 0-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
04.08.2024 La Equidad La Equidad 1-1 HT 0-0 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
01.06.2024 La Equidad La Equidad 1-2 HT 1-1 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
06.05.2024 Once Caldas Once Caldas 2-0 HT 1-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
07.02.2024 Once Caldas Once Caldas 0-0 HT 0-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
23.09.2023 Once Caldas Once Caldas 1-1 HT 0-1 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME La Equidad
0-1
AWAY Once Caldas
0.77 xG 1.16
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
293 Passes 241
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 11
32 Crosses 8
6 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH La Equidad vs Once Caldas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Once Caldas squeezed past La Equidad 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Once Caldas as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, La Equidad had 55% of the ball to Once Caldas's 45%, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 0.77 to 1.16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Once Caldas led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for La Equidad and 1.50 for Once Caldas.

What was the final score of La Equidad vs Once Caldas?

La Equidad 0-1 Once Caldas in the Colombia - Primera on 07/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for La Equidad vs Once Caldas?

Before kick-off our model rated an Once Caldas win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split La Equidad 27%, draw 27%, Once Caldas 46%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Once Caldas), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Once Caldas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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