Gent 1-0 Omonia Nicosia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 7 Nov 2024

📅07/11/2024 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
55%
1.76
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
18%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
2.0
Over
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1
27%
3.7
2-3
41%
1.82
4-5
21%
3.28
6+
11%
11.6
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.7 — our 27% vs market 21.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.34
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.1
X/1
20%
4.18
X/2
5%
8.54
X/X
12%
5.21
2/1
7%
22.7
2/2
8%
6.32
2/X
6%
14.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Gent win — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
55%
Home Win
52%
+2.6pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.1pp
18%
Away Win
24%
-5.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.8pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gent The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Omonia Nicosia The Market 27%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.27/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/1.13
-27% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
329 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 77%
36.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
29.7 Crosses 16.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gent
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Omonia Nicosia
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
65% Ball Possession 35%
14 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
25.08.2022 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 2-0 HT 2-0 Gent Gent AVL
18.08.2022 Gent Gent 0-2 HT 0-1 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia AVL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gent
1-0
AWAY Omonia Nicosia
1.56 xG 0.91
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 6
422 Passes 293
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
33 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gent vs Omonia Nicosia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gent edged past Omonia Nicosia 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Gent as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Gent had 57% of the ball to Omonia Nicosia's 43%, shots finished 17-13, expected goals 1.56 to 0.91.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Omonia Nicosia led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Gent and 2.00 for Omonia Nicosia.

What was the final score of Gent vs Omonia Nicosia?

Gent 1-0 Omonia Nicosia in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 07/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gent vs Omonia Nicosia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gent win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Gent 55%, draw 27%, Omonia Nicosia 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gent), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gent) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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