Legia Varşova 4-0 Dinamo Minsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 7 Nov 2024

📅07/11/2024 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
57%
1.42
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
21%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
1.9
Over
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.13
No
55%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.32
2-3
44%
1.78
4-5
21%
3.56
6+
10%
14.15
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.32 — our 25% vs market 24.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.69
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
20.25
X/1
24%
3.38
X/2
6%
15.65
X/X
11%
5.81
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
9%
13.7
2/X
6%
21.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Legia Varşova win — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
58%
Home Win
67%
-9.1pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.7pp
21%
Away Win
12%
+8.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
43%
+2.1pp
55%
BTTS No
57%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Legia Varşova The Market 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Minsk The Market 15%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.52/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
-22% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +13%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
374 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 75%
26.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.3 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Legia Varşova
4-0
AWAY Dinamo Minsk
2.28 xG 0.52
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
383 Passes 300
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
27 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Legia Varşova vs Dinamo Minsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Legia Varşova cruised past Dinamo Minsk 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Legia Varşova as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Legia Varşova had 55% of the ball to Dinamo Minsk's 45%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 2.28 to 0.52.

What was the final score of Legia Varşova vs Dinamo Minsk?

Legia Varşova 4-0 Dinamo Minsk in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 07/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Legia Varşova vs Dinamo Minsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Legia Varşova win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Legia Varşova 58%, draw 22%, Dinamo Minsk 21%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Legia Varşova), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Legia Varşova) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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