Shamrock Rovers 2-1 The New Saints — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 7 Nov 2024

📅07/11/2024 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
31%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under
55%
1.74
Over
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.88
No Pick
57%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2.92
2-3
39%
1.77
4-5
20%
3.99
6+
9%
18.3
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.92 — our 32% vs market 28.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.51
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.5
X/1
16%
4.23
X/2
10%
8.39
X/X
11%
4.28
2/1
5%
26.5
2/2
14%
6.65
2/X
7%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
42%
Home Win
50%
-7.9pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.6pp
31%
Away Win
23%
+8.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.3pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shamrock Rovers The Market 54%
Head to Head
AWAY The New Saints The Market 26%
-70% / -70% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +55% / +55%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.51/0.00
-100% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% /
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
357 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shamrock Rovers
2-1
AWAY The New Saints
1.82 xG 0.96
57% Ball Possession 43%
23 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 1
499 Passes 347
87% Pass Accuracy 80%
25 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Shamrock Rovers vs The New Saints
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shamrock Rovers edged past The New Saints 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Shamrock Rovers as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Shamrock Rovers had 57% of the ball to The New Saints's 43%, shots finished 23-10, expected goals 1.82 to 0.96.

What was the final score of Shamrock Rovers vs The New Saints?

Shamrock Rovers 2-1 The New Saints in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 07/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shamrock Rovers vs The New Saints?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shamrock Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Shamrock Rovers 42%, draw 27%, The New Saints 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shamrock Rovers) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shamrock Rovers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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