HJK Helsinki 0-2 Olimpija Ljubljana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 7 Nov 2024

📅07/11/2024 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.99
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
38%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
51%
1.71
Over
49%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2.85
2-3
43%
1.77
4-5
21%
4.1
6+
9%
19.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
5.0
1/2
8%
28.5
1/X
7%
13.7
X/1
11%
6.59
X/2
15%
4.66
X/X
8%
4.18
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
15%
3.07
2/X
10%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
37%
Home Win
30%
+6.9pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.4pp
38%
Away Win
42%
-4.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
55%
-3.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
45%
+3.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.0pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HJK Helsinki The Market 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Olimpija Ljubljana The Market 46%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
0.59/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/0.26
-53% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / +150%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
296 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 430 · 82%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
9.4 Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 0.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HJK Helsinki
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Olimpija Ljubljana
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
16.08.2018 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 1-4 HT 0-1 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana AVL
09.08.2018 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 3-0 HT 1-0 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki AVL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HJK Helsinki
0-2
AWAY Olimpija Ljubljana
0.76 xG 0.36
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
342 Passes 300
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 9
22 Crosses 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH HJK Helsinki vs Olimpija Ljubljana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olimpija Ljubljana beat HJK Helsinki 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 38%) promised a tight game; Olimpija Ljubljana found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, HJK Helsinki had 54% of the ball to Olimpija Ljubljana's 46%, shots finished 10-5, expected goals 0.76 to 0.36.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Olimpija Ljubljana led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for HJK Helsinki and 3.50 for Olimpija Ljubljana.

What was the final score of HJK Helsinki vs Olimpija Ljubljana?

HJK Helsinki 0-2 Olimpija Ljubljana in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 07/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HJK Helsinki vs Olimpija Ljubljana?

Before kick-off our model rated an Olimpija Ljubljana win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split HJK Helsinki 37%, draw 26%, Olimpija Ljubljana 38%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olimpija Ljubljana), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Olimpija Ljubljana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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