Alajuelense 1-0 Sporting San Jose — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 7 Nov 2024

📅07/11/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.33
Draw
24%
4.62
Away
20%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.06
No
50%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
12%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
71%
-14.8pp
24%
Draw
18%
+5.6pp
20%
Away Win
11%
+9.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.9pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alajuelense EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting San Jose EU Bookmakers 14%
-2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +5%
2.32/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.82
+8% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +18%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
346 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alajuelense
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Sporting San Jose
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.09.2024 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose 0-1 HT 0-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
05.05.2024 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose 1-1 HT 0-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
13.01.2024 Alajuelense Alajuelense 1-0 HT 0-0 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose KOSTA
09.10.2023 Alajuelense Alajuelense 1-2 HT 0-2 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose KOSTA
06.08.2023 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose 0-0 HT 0-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
30.03.2023 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose 2-0 HT 0-0 Alajuelense Alajuelense KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alajuelense
1-0
AWAY Sporting San Jose
62% Ball Possession 38%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Alajuelense vs Sporting San Jose
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alajuelense edged past Sporting San Jose 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Alajuelense as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Alajuelense had 62% of the ball to Sporting San Jose's 38%, shots finished 10-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Alajuelense and 0.83 for Sporting San Jose.

What was the final score of Alajuelense vs Sporting San Jose?

Alajuelense 1-0 Sporting San Jose in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 07/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alajuelense vs Sporting San Jose?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alajuelense win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Alajuelense 56%, draw 24%, Sporting San Jose 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alajuelense) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alajuelense) ✗ Over 2.5
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KOSTA More Costa Rica - Premier League
7 Nov 2024
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