FC Liefering 5-2 Kapfenberger SV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 7 Nov 2025

📅07/11/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.92
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.7
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.07
6+ Goals
12%
10.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.69
1/2
4%
33.5
1/X
6%
13.3
X/1
20%
4.82
X/2
11%
7.55
X/X
8%
5.3
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
23.1
2/2
12%
5.36
2/X
9%
14.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.1 — our 9% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
48%
+2.4pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.2pp
27%
Away Win
27%
-0.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+0.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-0.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.2pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Liefering EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Kapfenberger SV EU Bookmakers 31%
-8% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +15%
2.07/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.10
+3% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
287 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 69%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
24.7 Crosses 14.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Liefering
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Kapfenberger SV
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.40 xG 2.03
65% Ball Possession 35%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 4
342 Passes 126
78% Pass Accuracy 54%
28 Box Touches 17
28 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.04.2025 FC Liefering FC Liefering 2-0 HT 0-0 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
27.09.2024 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 0-2 HT 0-1 FC Liefering FC Liefering AU2
20.05.2024 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 1-3 HT 1-0 FC Liefering FC Liefering AU2
12.11.2023 FC Liefering FC Liefering 0-1 HT 0-0 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
01.04.2023 FC Liefering FC Liefering 1-3 HT 1-2 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
05.11.2022 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 3-2 HT 1-1 FC Liefering FC Liefering AU2
POST-MATCH FC Liefering vs Kapfenberger SV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Liefering swept aside Kapfenberger SV 5-2. Half-time: 5-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FC Liefering as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for FC Liefering and 1.33 for Kapfenberger SV.

What was the final score of FC Liefering vs Kapfenberger SV?

FC Liefering 5-2 Kapfenberger SV in the Austria - 1st Division on 07/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Liefering vs Kapfenberger SV?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Liefering win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split FC Liefering 50%, draw 23%, Kapfenberger SV 27%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Liefering), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Liefering) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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