Sydney United 1-2 APIA Leichhardt Tigers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AVC, 7 Nov 2025

📅07/11/2025 · 🕒11:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
5.09
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
57%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.21
Over 2.5
61%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.75
No
45%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.18
2-3 Goals
34%
1.84
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
34%
2.82
6+ Goals
9%
8.12
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 2.82 — our 34% vs market 28.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
4%
X/2
21%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
32%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
17%
+2.3pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.2pp
57%
Away Win
63%
-5.4pp
39%
Under 2.5
41%
-2.8pp
61%
Over 2.5
59%
+2.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.8pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sydney United EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY APIA Leichhardt Tigers EU Bookmakers 67%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -78% / +150%
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
245 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 486 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sydney United
4W-1D-1L
AWAY APIA Leichhardt Tigers
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.34 xG 1.81
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 32
6 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 15
219 Passes 366
70% Pass Accuracy 79%
11 Crosses 34
1 Yellow Cards 1
17.10.2025 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 4-0 HT 2-0 Sydney United Sydney United AVC
20.07.2025 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 2-2 HT 0-1 Sydney United Sydney United AVNPL
06.04.2025 Sydney United Sydney United 2-1 HT 1-1 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
21.07.2024 Sydney United Sydney United 2-0 HT 0-0 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
14.04.2024 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 1-5 HT 0-4 Sydney United Sydney United AVNPL
04.06.2023 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 1-2 HT 0-1 Sydney United Sydney United AVNPL
POST-MATCH Sydney United vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

APIA Leichhardt Tigers edged past Sydney United 2-1 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had APIA Leichhardt Tigers as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sydney United had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Sydney United and 1.50 for APIA Leichhardt Tigers.

What was the final score of Sydney United vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers?

Sydney United 1-2 APIA Leichhardt Tigers in the AVC on 07/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sydney United vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers?

Before kick-off our model rated an APIA Leichhardt Tigers win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Sydney United 19%, draw 24%, APIA Leichhardt Tigers 57%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (APIA Leichhardt Tigers), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (APIA Leichhardt Tigers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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