Bolivar 6-1 Aurora — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 7 Nov 2025

📅07/11/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
77%
1.29
Draw
13%
5.28
Away
10%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.56
No
43%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
23%
X/2
4%
X/X
5%
2/1
12%
2/2
4%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
77%
Home Win
73%
+3.7pp
13%
Draw
16%
-3.2pp
11%
Away Win
11%
-0.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.5pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bolivar EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Aurora EU Bookmakers 14%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +23%
2.05/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.38
+35% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +39%
57% Ball Possession 43%
21 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
357 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 78%
30.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.1
21.6 Crosses 13.1
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bolivar
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Aurora
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.27 xG 1.05
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
327 Passes 220
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
12.05.2025 Aurora Aurora 0-2 HT 0-1 Bolivar Bolivar BOLİ
20.10.2024 Bolivar Bolivar 0-1 HT 0-0 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
23.05.2024 Aurora Aurora 1-1 HT 0-1 Bolivar Bolivar BOLİ
15.12.2023 Aurora Aurora 1-0 HT 0-0 Bolivar Bolivar BOLPLK
12.12.2023 Bolivar Bolivar 3-1 HT 1-1 Aurora Aurora BOLPLK
13.08.2023 Aurora Aurora 2-1 HT 1-1 Bolivar Bolivar BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bolivar
6-1
AWAY Aurora
2.87 xG 0.52
70% Ball Possession 30%
19 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
336 Passes 111
86% Pass Accuracy 68%
27 Box Touches 9
17 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bolivar vs Aurora
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bolivar cruised past Aurora 6-1. Half-time: 3-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bolivar as the likeliest winner at 77%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Bolivar had 70% of the ball to Aurora's 30%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 2.87 to 0.52.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aurora led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Bolivar and 1.00 for Aurora.

What was the final score of Bolivar vs Aurora?

Bolivar 6-1 Aurora in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 07/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bolivar vs Aurora?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bolivar win the most likely single outcome at about 77%, with the full match-result split Bolivar 77%, draw 13%, Aurora 11%. The final score 6-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bolivar), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bolivar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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