Hobro IK 2-0 Aarhus Fremad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 7 Nov 2025

📅07/11/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
45%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.03
Over 2.5
56%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.61
No
43%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.68
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.08
6+ Goals
12%
10.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.55
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
24.0
1/X
6%
13.75
X/1
14%
6.67
X/2
15%
5.12
X/X
11%
5.28
2/1
7%
30.0
2/2
19%
3.04
2/X
6%
13.3
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.0 — our 10% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+0.8pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.3pp
45%
Away Win
43%
+1.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
45%
-1.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
55%
+1.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.7pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hobro IK EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Aarhus Fremad EU Bookmakers 48%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +42% / +42%
1.42/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/1.00
+13% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +82% / +19%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
319 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 77%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.9 Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hobro IK
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Aarhus Fremad
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.79 xG 1.80
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
437 Passes 466
87% Pass Accuracy 88%
23 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
24.09.2025 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad 1-2 HT 1-1 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAK
20.09.2025 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad 3-0 HT 2-0 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hobro IK
2-0
AWAY Aarhus Fremad
0.89 xG 0.78
34% Ball Possession 66%
11 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
227 Passes 491
77% Pass Accuracy 87%
18 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 30
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hobro IK vs Aarhus Fremad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hobro IK got the better of Aarhus Fremad 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Aarhus Fremad at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hobro IK had 34% of the ball to Aarhus Fremad's 66%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 0.89 to 0.78.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hobro IK and 2.00 for Aarhus Fremad.

What was the final score of Hobro IK vs Aarhus Fremad?

Hobro IK 2-0 Aarhus Fremad in the Denmark 1st Division on 07/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hobro IK vs Aarhus Fremad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aarhus Fremad win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Hobro IK 33%, draw 22%, Aarhus Fremad 45%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Aarhus Fremad) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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