HB Koge 1-1 Hillerod — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 7 Nov 2025

📅07/11/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.08
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
49%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.08
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
2.9
6+ Goals
10%
8.68
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.08
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
22.25
1/X
6%
13.55
X/1
9%
7.49
X/2
20%
5.01
X/X
9%
5.47
2/1
6%
31.5
2/2
18%
2.73
2/X
9%
12.85
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.25 — our 10% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
29%
-1.1pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.3pp
49%
Away Win
46%
+2.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.6pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HB Koge EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Hillerod EU Bookmakers 50%
+5% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +0%
1.35/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.04
-5% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -15%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
308 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 432 · 82%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.8
14.9 Crosses 18.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HB Koge
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Hillerod
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.24 xG 2.68
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 8
288 Passes 481
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 31
14 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
23.08.2025 Hillerod Hillerod 3-1 HT 3-0 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
25.04.2025 Hillerod Hillerod 3-0 HT 2-0 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
13.04.2025 HB Koge HB Koge 0-2 HT 0-0 Hillerod Hillerod DAN1
02.12.2024 HB Koge HB Koge 1-5 HT 1-1 Hillerod Hillerod DAN1
16.08.2024 Hillerod Hillerod 4-2 HT 2-1 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
05.05.2024 HB Koge HB Koge 1-1 HT 1-1 Hillerod Hillerod DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HB Koge
1-1
AWAY Hillerod
2.02 xG 0.92
51% Ball Possession 49%
19 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
336 Passes 317
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 11
23 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH HB Koge vs Hillerod
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HB Koge and Hillerod shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Hillerod at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, HB Koge had 51% of the ball to Hillerod's 49%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 2.02 to 0.92.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hillerod led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for HB Koge and 3.00 for Hillerod.

What was the final score of HB Koge vs Hillerod?

HB Koge 1-1 Hillerod in the Denmark 1st Division on 07/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HB Koge vs Hillerod?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hillerod win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split HB Koge 28%, draw 23%, Hillerod 49%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hillerod), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hillerod) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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