HB Koge 0-2 Hillerod — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.75
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
51%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.74
Over 2.5
52%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.95
No
45%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.75
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
25%
3.92
6+ Goals
8%
18.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
6.9
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
26.0
1/X
5%
16.15
X/1
10%
8.28
X/2
17%
4.23
X/X
11%
4.63
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
24%
2.5
2/X
9%
14.85
Value flag · 1/2 at 26.0 — our 9% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
23%
+1.1pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.1pp
51%
Away Win
52%
-1.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
54%
-5.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
46%
+5.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
47%
+7.7pp
45%
BTTS No
53%
-7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HB Koge EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Hillerod EU Bookmakers 56%
+0% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.27/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/0.74
-8% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +97%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
284 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 73%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.4
16.1 Crosses 17.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HB Koge
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Hillerod
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.23 xG 1.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
401 Passes 491
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 29
12 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
02.12.2024 HB Koge HB Koge 1-5 HT 1-1 Hillerod Hillerod DAN1
16.08.2024 Hillerod Hillerod 4-2 HT 2-1 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
05.05.2024 HB Koge HB Koge 1-1 HT 1-1 Hillerod Hillerod DAN1
19.04.2024 Hillerod Hillerod 1-1 HT 0-0 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
08.03.2024 HB Koge HB Koge 0-4 HT 0-2 Hillerod Hillerod DAN1
21.07.2023 Hillerod Hillerod 0-4 HT 0-1 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HB Koge
0-2
AWAY Hillerod
1.72 xG 3.03
40% Ball Possession 60%
14 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
288 Passes 482
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
26 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH HB Koge vs Hillerod
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hillerod beat HB Koge 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hillerod as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, HB Koge had 40% of the ball to Hillerod's 60%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 1.72 to 3.03.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hillerod led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for HB Koge and 2.50 for Hillerod.

What was the final score of HB Koge vs Hillerod?

HB Koge 0-2 Hillerod in the Denmark 1st Division on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HB Koge vs Hillerod?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hillerod win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split HB Koge 24%, draw 25%, Hillerod 51%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hillerod) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hillerod) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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