HB Koge 1-5 Hillerod — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 2 Dec 2024

📅02/12/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.75
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
48%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.82
Over 2.5
55%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.85
No
42%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.22
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
30%
3.73
6+ Goals
8%
15.55
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.73 — our 30% vs market 21.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
6.8
1/2
7%
24.3
1/X
8%
15.8
X/1
11%
8.61
X/2
13%
4.02
X/X
7%
4.98
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
29%
2.38
2/X
9%
15.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
23%
+4.7pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.1pp
48%
Away Win
53%
-4.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
51%
-5.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
49%
+5.8pp
58%
BTTS Yes
50%
+8.1pp
42%
BTTS No
50%
-8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HB Koge EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Hillerod EU Bookmakers 57%
+2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.39/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/0.92
+6% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +39%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
277 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 76%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.7
15.1 Crosses 14.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HB Koge
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Hillerod
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.29 xG 1.45
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
417 Passes 448
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
16.08.2024 Hillerod Hillerod 4-2 HT 2-1 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
05.05.2024 HB Koge HB Koge 1-1 HT 1-1 Hillerod Hillerod DAN1
19.04.2024 Hillerod Hillerod 1-1 HT 0-0 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
08.03.2024 HB Koge HB Koge 0-4 HT 0-2 Hillerod Hillerod DAN1
21.07.2023 Hillerod Hillerod 0-4 HT 0-1 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
19.05.2023 Hillerod Hillerod 1-0 HT 1-0 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HB Koge
1-5
AWAY Hillerod
0.80 xG 2.15
39% Ball Possession 61%
6 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 9
286 Passes 501
77% Pass Accuracy 87%
9 Box Touches 37
9 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH HB Koge vs Hillerod
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hillerod ran out comfortable winners over HB Koge 5-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hillerod as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, HB Koge had 39% of the ball to Hillerod's 61%, shots finished 6-21, expected goals 0.80 to 2.15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hillerod led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for HB Koge and 1.83 for Hillerod.

What was the final score of HB Koge vs Hillerod?

HB Koge 1-5 Hillerod in the Denmark 1st Division on 02/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HB Koge vs Hillerod?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hillerod win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split HB Koge 28%, draw 24%, Hillerod 48%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hillerod), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hillerod) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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