Montpellier (K) 1-5 Lyon (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 7 Nov 2025

📅07/11/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
12.23
Draw
10%
8.78
Away
70%
1.06
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
3%
X/1
7%
X/2
11%
X/X
3%
2/1
3%
2/2
52%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
5%
+15.1pp
10%
Draw
8%
+2.3pp
71%
Away Win
88%
-17.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montpellier (K) EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Lyon (K) EU Bookmakers 94%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -1%
0.66/2.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.34/0.44
+60% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +75% / +90%
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
208 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 81%
14.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 41.9
11.0 Crosses 28.1
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montpellier (K)
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Lyon (K)
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
0.45 xG 3.59
33% Ball Possession 67%
5 Total Shots 24
2 Shots on Target 11
2 Corners 9
193 Passes 556
66% Pass Accuracy 86%
8 Box Touches 41
8 Crosses 34
2 Yellow Cards 1
31.01.2025 Montpellier (K) Montpellier (K) 1-4 HT 1-3 Lyon (K) Lyon (K) FRK1
05.10.2024 Lyon (K) Lyon (K) 4-0 HT 1-0 Montpellier (K) Montpellier (K) FRK1
21.01.2024 Montpellier (K) Montpellier (K) 1-2 HT 1-2 Lyon (K) Lyon (K) FRK1
14.01.2024 Lyon (K) Lyon (K) 4-0 HT 2-0 Montpellier (K) Montpellier (K) FRKK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montpellier (K)
1-5
AWAY Lyon (K)
0.85 xG 2.74
26% Ball Possession 74%
7 Total Shots 26
4 Shots on Target 13
3 Corners 15
133 Passes 489
65% Pass Accuracy 88%
10 Box Touches 44
8 Crosses 41
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Montpellier (K) vs Lyon (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lyon (K) ran out comfortable winners over Montpellier (K) 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lyon (K) as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%) came in.

On the day, Montpellier (K) had 26% of the ball to Lyon (K)'s 74%, shots finished 7-26, expected goals 0.85 to 2.74.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Lyon (K) led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Montpellier (K) and 3.50 for Lyon (K).

What was the final score of Montpellier (K) vs Lyon (K)?

Montpellier (K) 1-5 Lyon (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 07/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montpellier (K) vs Lyon (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lyon (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Montpellier (K) 20%, draw 10%, Lyon (K) 71%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lyon (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lyon (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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