Venados 5-1 Tlaxcala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 7 Nov 2025

📅07/11/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.64
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
22%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.23
Over 2.5
59%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.63
No
40%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
34%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
56%
+0.4pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.5pp
22%
Away Win
21%
+1.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.2pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.2pp
60%
BTTS Yes
57%
+2.5pp
40%
BTTS No
43%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Venados EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Tlaxcala EU Bookmakers 24%
+3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +0%
2.07/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.70
+19% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -5%
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
408 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Venados
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Tlaxcala
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
12.04.2025 Venados Venados 2-1 HT 1-0 Tlaxcala MEK2
27.10.2024 Tlaxcala 1-1 HT 0-0 Venados Venados MEK2
22.02.2024 Tlaxcala 1-0 HT 0-0 Venados Venados MEK2
22.07.2023 Venados Venados 3-1 HT 1-1 Tlaxcala MEK2
28.04.2023 Tlaxcala 2-0 HT 1-0 Venados Venados MEK2
15.03.2023 Tlaxcala 1-1 HT 1-0 Venados Venados MEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Venados
5-1
AWAY Tlaxcala
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 20
11 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Venados vs Tlaxcala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Venados ran out comfortable winners over Tlaxcala 5-1. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Venados as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Venados had 52% of the ball to Tlaxcala's 48%, shots finished 18-20.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Venados and 1.17 for Tlaxcala.

What was the final score of Venados vs Tlaxcala?

Venados 5-1 Tlaxcala in the Mexico - Primera A on 07/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Venados vs Tlaxcala?

Before kick-off our model rated a Venados win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Venados 57%, draw 21%, Tlaxcala 22%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Venados), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Venados) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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