Sporting Cristal 2-1 Cienciano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 7 Nov 2025

📅07/11/2025 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.61
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
58%
-3.3pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.2pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+3.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.0pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Cristal EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Cienciano EU Bookmakers 23%
+2% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +19%
1.89/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.53
+23% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -8%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
357 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 76%
28.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
24.3 Crosses 16.4
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Cristal
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Cienciano
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.73 xG 1.56
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
322 Passes 231
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.07.2025 Cienciano Cienciano 1-1 HT 0-0 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
27.07.2024 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 5-1 HT 1-1 Cienciano Cienciano PER
10.02.2024 Cienciano Cienciano 2-2 HT 2-1 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
23.10.2023 Cienciano Cienciano 1-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
02.06.2023 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 4-2 HT 2-0 Cienciano Cienciano PER
11.09.2022 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 4-1 HT 2-1 Cienciano Cienciano PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Cristal
2-1
AWAY Cienciano
1.19 xG 0.38
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
301 Passes 345
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sporting Cristal vs Cienciano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Cristal squeezed past Cienciano 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sporting Cristal as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sporting Cristal had 48% of the ball to Cienciano's 52%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 1.19 to 0.38.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Cristal had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Sporting Cristal and 1.33 for Cienciano.

What was the final score of Sporting Cristal vs Cienciano?

Sporting Cristal 2-1 Cienciano in the Peru - Premier League on 07/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Cristal vs Cienciano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Cristal win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Sporting Cristal 54%, draw 23%, Cienciano 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Cristal), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Cristal) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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